Olive Season 2026: How We Invest in Olive Oil Production, From Grove to Bottle, in a Year When Prices Are Falling How Pend invests in Egyptian olive oil production during the 2026 harvest season: timing, pressing, table olives vs oil, and how falling global prices shape this year’s decisions. Spain 2026/27 olive oil forecast : 1.6M t +23% vs prior season · 1 Oct estimate . Infaoliva EVO reference €3.30/kg same day — bulk margins tighten for Egyptian exporters — RusSpain / Infaoliva Takeaway: The season has started. In Egypt, August–December harvesting — commercial picking mostly September–November; Siwa peak pressing October–December. The next ten weeks are when most return decisions get made — not when trees are bought. Our olive programme is a production cycle: source fruit from partner groves in Siwa and Fayoum, press or process, sell oil or table olives. Season capital covers fruit at harvest, pressing, and holding until sold. DPend owns programme and product. Operators pick, press and grade on agreed terms. Investors contract with Pend and earn from what the season produces. This year’s market: more olives, lower prices Global prices shifted since 2024, when Spanish exports peaked near ~$11/kg. 1 October 2026: Spain’s first 2026/27 forecast ~1.6 million tonnes — +23% — Andalusia ~1.26M t. Infaoliva listed extra virgin €3.30/kg, virgin €3.15, lampante €3.10. Reviews suggest €3.00–€3.50 if harvest delivers. Greece: leaders warn +500–700k t Mediterranean output could push producers toward ~€2.50/kg. Spain’s agriculture ministry drafted rules to withdraw oil from market if a bumper crop pushes prices below ~€1.70–€2.00/kg production cost for large producers. Europe sets global benchmarks — Egyptian exporters compete on bulk oil. A large Spanish crop = more competition, thinner margins. How that changes our decisions this season More table olives. Egypt ~18% of global table olive output; domestic use ~540k t 2024/25 vs ~11k t 1990/91 . Less exposed to European bulk…

Olive Season 2026: How We Invest in Olive Oil Production, From Grove to Bottle, in a Year When Prices Are Falling

How Pend invests in Egyptian olive oil production during the 2026 harvest season: timing, pressing, table olives vs oil, and how falling global prices shape this year’s decisions.

Spain 2026/27 olive oil forecast: 1.6M t (+23% vs prior season · 1 Oct estimate). Infaoliva EVO reference €3.30/kg same day — bulk margins tighten for Egyptian exporters — RusSpain / Infaoliva

Our olive programme is a production cycle: source fruit from partner groves in Siwa and Fayoum, press or process, sell oil or table olives. Season capital covers fruit at harvest, pressing, and holding until sold. DPend owns programme and product. Operators pick, press and grade on agreed terms. Investors contract with Pend and earn from what the season produces.

This year’s market: more olives, lower prices

Global prices shifted since 2024, when Spanish exports peaked near ~$11/kg. 1 October 2026: Spain’s first 2026/27 forecast ~1.6 million tonnes — +23% — Andalusia ~1.26M t. Infaoliva listed extra virgin €3.30/kg, virgin €3.15, lampante €3.10. Reviews suggest €3.00–€3.50 if harvest delivers. Greece: leaders warn +500–700k t Mediterranean output could push producers toward ~€2.50/kg. Spain’s agriculture ministry drafted rules to withdraw oil from market if a bumper crop pushes prices below ~€1.70–€2.00/kg production cost for large producers. Europe sets global benchmarks — Egyptian exporters compete on bulk oil. A large Spanish crop = more competition, thinner margins.

How that changes our decisions this season

More table olives. Egypt ~18% of global table olive output; domestic use ~540k t 2024/25 vs ~11k t 1990/91 . Less exposed to European bulk oil — larger fruit share there. Selective early-harvest oil. Early pick yields 30–50% less oil but higher quality and premium — only volumes we can sell at premium, not volume into a falling bulk market. Speed tree to press. Fresh fruit to mill fast — grade separates extra virgin from lower tiers. Picking scheduled to press capacity — no fruit waiting. Shorter holding. If prices keep softening as Spain’s harvest lands, long oil storage is riskier than usual — sell earlier or agree prices before pressing vs inventory for recovery.

Why this still works as an investment

Falling bulk prices squeeze oil — they don’t stop olives producing. Fruit still comes every year; Egyptian table demand keeps growing; local costs stay competitive. Return in a year like this comes from allocation, press timing, grade, and sell timing — why we treat olives as seasonal working capital, not a long hold: capital in at harvest, returns as product sells, reassessed next season.

Intelligence, Studio and Management

Intelligence tracks Spain estimates, reference prices, October weather, and yield/quality from partner groves. Studio structures each season as a defined cycle — what investors fund and when capital returns see olive oil wholesale cycle offering . Management sets table vs oil split, pressing schedules, and sell timing, adjusting as prices move.

Current status

Olive programme in beta with partner groves in Siwa and Fayoum. Each season’s terms, volumes and results documented and reported to participating investors.

Infaoliva EVO (1 Oct): €3.30/kg. Bulk oil margin pressure — table olive route relatively insulated

Egypt table olive share: ~18%. Growing home market supports allocation away from bulk export oil

Early harvest yield: −30–50%. Premium EVO only where buyers pay for quality — not volume plays

Disclaimer This material is for information and education only. It does not constitute investment advice or an offer to sell securities. Olive harvests and prices vary from season to season, and returns are not guaranteed.

Egypt’s olive harvest runs August–December; the next ten weeks set the season’s return. We run a production cycle — fruit, pressing, table olives or oil — not a bet on trees. With Spain forecasting a larger 2026/27 crop and European prices softening, we’re tilting toward table olives, selective early-harvest oil, fast tree-to-press, and shorter holds.

Topics

  • Olive Oil
  • Table Olives
  • Olive Harvest Season Egypt
  • Spain 2026/27 Forecast and Price Pressure
  • Table Olives vs. Oil Allocation
  • Seasonal Working-Capital Position
  • Olive oil wholesale cycle — Dpend Farms
  • DPend Farms

Sources

  • Olive Harvester: Olive harvest season in Egypt: timing by variety
  • Pure Harvest: Egyptian olive oil from Siwa: peak harvest and production October to December
  • RusSpain: Spain forecasts 1.6 million tonnes of olive oil for 2026/27 (1 October 2026)
  • RusSpain: Infaoliva reference prices; MAPA draft withdrawal rule (October 2026)
  • Greek City Times: Greek olive oil prices as 2026 harvest begins: €2.50 scenario, Spanish production costs (September 2026)
  • Tridge: Olive oil price forecast 2026: 2024 peak of $11.19/kg
  • International Olive Council: Egypt table olive share and consumption growth
  • La Tourangelle: Early harvest extra virgin: 30–50% lower oil yield
  • Nestor Olive Oil: Three seasons of olive harvest: immediate pressing after picking
  • Pend / DPend Agricultural: Siwa and Fayoum olive programme (proprietary)